January 13, 2026
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NDA’s Dominance: A Verdict Beyond Expectations
The Bihar Assembly election results of November 14, 2025, delivered a political earthquake. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), anchored by Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) and the Bharatiya Janata Party, swept past all projections to claim more than 200 of the 243 seats. In a state known for tight contests and coalition compulsions, this three-fourths majority is not just a win — it is a statement of overwhelming public confidence.

Congress at Its Lowest: A Collapse Without a Cushion
If the NDA’s performance was spectacular, the Congress party’s showing was disturbingly bleak. Winning only 6 out of the 61 seats it contested, the party registered its worst performance since 2010. Shock reverberated through its leadership, with Rahul Gandhi raising concerns about alleged “vote theft” and irregularities in the revised electoral rolls. Yet, beneath the protests lies a sobering reality: Congress remains organisationally adrift in Bihar.



Chirag Paswan’s Emergence: The New Axis of Influence
Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) emerged as the quiet force powering the NDA’s surge. By winning 19 of its 29 seats, the party not only strengthened the coalition but also asserted Paswan’s growing influence. Once viewed merely as a youth face, he now stands firmly as a strategic vote-puller and a decisive player in Bihar’s politics.

Mahagathbandhan in Disarray: An Alliance Without Direction
The Grand Alliance’s performance was a story of fragmentation and fading appeal. The Rashtriya Janata Dal, the axis around which the alliance once revolved, slipped to third place in seats won and struggled to hold ground. The Mahagathbandhan’s inability to present a coherent vision or inspire voter confidence proved fatal.

Women Voters: The Silent Force Behind the NDA Surge
Beyond the headlines, the real narrative emerged from the district-wise polling data released by the Election Commission on November 12. Women voters turned out in exceptional numbers — and they reshaped the electoral battlefield. In districts where women outnumbered men at the polls, the NDA’s vote share soared far above the Mahagathbandhan’s. Where turnout between men and women was nearly equal, the contest tightened sharply.
This trend reinforces a crucial shift: women in Bihar are not merely participating in democracy; they are influencing outcomes decisively.

The Message from Bihar: Adapt or Be Left Behind
The 2025 mandate is more than a result sheet — it is a recalibration of Bihar’s political mood. For the ruling alliance, it is validation. For the opposition, it is a wake-up call. And for every party eyeing Bihar’s future, the message is unmistakable: understand the new aspirations of the electorate — especially women — or risk irrelevance.


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Vijay Laxmi Rai

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